FS 26.104
Impact-Based Hazard Modelling and Risk Dynamics in Mountain Regions
Session status: Merged
Content last updated: 2026-04-16 00:06:27
Online available since: 2025-12-16 12:58:51
Details
Full Title
From Triggers to Impacts: Interpretable Impact-Based Hazard Modelling and Risk Dynamics in Mountain RegionsScheduled
TBATBAChair
Schlögl, MatthiasCo-chair(s)
Steger, Stefan; and Imgrüth, DominikThematic Focus
Adaption, Modeling, Natural HazardsKeywords
impact-based modelling, risk, interpretable machine learning, extreme events
Abstract/Description
Impact-based approaches are reshaping mountain hazard research by shifting focus from what the weather will be to what the weather will do. This shift is underpinned by the concept of the warning value chain, which integrates observations, forecasts, hazard assessments, and impact analyses to enable effective, risk-oriented early warning.
This session focuses on conceptual and applied contributions that cover one or more aspects along the warning value chain, with emphasis on integrative studies that link relevant risk drivers (e.g., hydrometeorological trigger information, geo-environmental conditions, and socio-economic factors) to support informed decision-making in mountain regions. We consider multiple time scales, from real-time forecasting to trends in losses under climate change.
Topics of interest include:
- Coupled frameworks that link hydro-meteorological drivers, terrain and land cover, exposure, vulnerability, and runout dynamics to deliver spatially explicit estimates and scenario-based maps.
- Geomorphic plausibility, interpretability, uncertainty quantification, and reproducibility, including physics-informed and hybrid machine learning approaches.
- Evaluation of thresholds, predictive skill, and communication of uncertainty, with attention to true/false alarm trade-offs and decision relevance.
- Use of long-term event records and loss databases to disentangle climate change, exposure dynamics, and mitigation effects.
- Studies from regional forecasting to process-based local management, emphasizing transferability and generalizability across basins and ranges, and multi-hazard interactions.
The session aims to connect scientists, practitioners, and policymakers to guide adaptation under evolving climate and land-use pressures.
- If you are not yet logged-in, please log in to your My#Conf environment
- Click “Submissions” and select the session you want to review (you need to be chair or co-chair to see the session and the submissions to the session) by clicking on the “external link” symbol:
- On the selected session page, scroll down to get to the section “Submitted abstracts”.
-> this list shows all abstracts submitted to your session.
-> each line shows one abstract - To get to the review section, please click on the “eye” symbol: of the abstract.
-> the abstract expands and new sections (First author, Co-author(s) and description) appear.
-> additional, the abstract review area appears below the abstract content. - The review area gives you now a new panel to adjust:
FOR CO-CHAIRS
-> dropdown menu to set a review recommendation (you can overwrite this recommendation as often as you want)
-> optional: comments to share with your chair-colleagues and the organizing committee (max. 50 characters, not visible for the authors of the abstract)
INFO: You can change your review (incl. comments) for an abstract as often as you want until the chair makes the final decision. Changes are overwritten and not archived.
FOR CHAIRS
-> checkbox to set your final review (when activated, you confirm your final choice and will close the review process of this abstract)
-> optional: comments to share with your co-chair(s) and the organizing committee (max. 50 characters, not visible for the authors of the abstract)
INFO: You can leave comments without making your final review as often as you want. Changes are overwritten and not archived. When activating the checkbox, you make your final review and close the review process for this abstract. In case of an erroneous review, you can of course contact us via contact form (please provide the abstract number). You can do the review no matter if your co-chair(s) have already submitted a review recommendation or not.
Details of the used icons/symbols
Once the review of the abstract is completed by the chair, this icon appears.
If at least one review/comment has been provided by the co-chair, this icon appears.
If at least one comment has been provided by the (co-)chair(s), this icon appears.